政治体制与反通胀成本

Political Regimes and the Cost of Disinflation

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2008
被引 18
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

利用1960-1998年数据,研究政治体制如何影响反通胀政策的牺牲率,发现右翼政府因反通胀声誉好、可信度高而成本更低,且央行独立性无显著影响。

Abstract

This study investigates, using data from 1960 to 1998, whether the nature of political regimes can help explain cross‐national and intertemporal variations in the cost of disinflationary policies, as measured by the sacrifice ratio. We show that, ceteris paribus , right‐wing governments have lower costs of disinflations than left‐wing governments. We argue this is due to a superior credibility, resulting from their stronger anti‐inflation reputations. In addition (and in marked contrast to previous studies), we find that when we control for political regimes, trade openness, and other standard factors in this literature, central bank independence has no significant effect on the sacrifice ratio.

政治体制反通胀成本牺牲率政府意识形态