估计汇率暴露:模型结构中的问题

Estimating Exchange Rate Exposures: Issues in Model Structure

Financial Management · 2003
被引 320 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

发现回报测量区间和模型设定都会显著影响美国公司股票价格中汇率暴露的估计,其中模型结构的影响更大;建议使用基于市值的投资组合作为市场因素的控制变量。

Abstract

We show that both return measurement horizon and model specification have noticeable impacts on estimates of exposure from equity prices for U.S. firms. While increases in the return horizon leads to increases in the precision of the estimates, this effect is less significant than the impact of model structure. We demonstrate that the inclusion and of a market return variable and its particular construction has a dramatic influence on the sign and size of the exposures due to a strong relation between firm size and exposure for U.S. firms. We propose using CRSP cap-based portfolios as the control for market factors and show that this produces exposures with stronger relation to foreign cash flows and correlations with firm size.

汇率风险暴露模型设定回报测量区间市场收益率变量