通胀目标制无关紧要:再看OECD牺牲率

Inflation Targeting Does Not Matter: Another Look at OECD Sacrifice Ratios

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2010
被引 33
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

指出Gonçalves和Carvalho(2009)关于通胀目标制降低通胀成本更低的结论不稳健,通过调整样本和控制时间效应等简单扩展,发现通胀目标制并无显著作用。

Abstract

Recently in this journal, Gonçalves and Carvalho (2009) concluded that inflation targeters were able to bring inflation down at less cost than nontargeters (p. 242). This comment shows that their conclusion is not robust but instead is the result of comparing a particular subset of inflation targeting (IT) disinflations with nonsimultaneous disinflations that occurred under very different macroeconomic conditions. In their sample, simple extensions such as justifiably varying the treatment group of IT disinflations, to control for common time‐varying effects or to control for the Maastricht Treaty effects, suggest that IT does not matter.

通货膨胀目标制牺牲率OECD国家反通货膨胀成本