Adolescent Premarital Childbearing: Do Economic Incentives Matter?
构建模型分析青少年婚前生育决策，发现福利、堕胎和家庭计划政策对白人青少年有显著影响，但对黑人青少年无影响，可能源于样本量或未测量的种族差异。
The authors develop an empirical model of adolescent premarital childbearing in which a woman's decisions affect a sequence of outcomes: premarital pregnancy, pregnancy resolution, and the occurrence of marriage before the birth. State welfare, abortion, and family planning policies alter the costs and benefits of these outcomes. For white adolescents, welfare, abortion, and family planning policy variables have significant effects on these outcomes consistent with theoretical expectations. Black adolescents' behavior shows no association with the policy variables. The different racial results may reflect differences in sample size or important unmeasured racial differences in factors that influence fertility and marital behavior. Copyright 1995 by University of Chicago Press.