日本陷入僵局

Japan at a Deadlock. By Michio Morishima. New York: St. Martin's Press, 2000. Pp. x, 261. $79.95.

Journal of Economic History · 2002
被引 1
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

本书分析了日本经济长期衰退的原因,包括失业、企业破产、股市暴跌和公共债务高企,并探讨了就业制度与政治经济结构的转型困境。

Abstract

What a difference a decade makes. The Japanese economy has been locked in recession for so long, and everyone is so gloomy about its prospects, that it is hard to imagine that at one time serious commentators spoke of a Pax Nipponica in the offing. Now unemployment is officially (and optimistically) estimated at 5 percent, corporate bankruptcies are soaring, the stock market is roughly 75 percent below its all-time high, and the financial system is on life support. Japan now leads the world in public debt as a percentage of GDP, while the Iron Triangle of government, business, and the conservative Liberal Democratic Party that oversaw the vaunted “miracle” era of growth in the 1950s and 1960s is discredited and unraveling. The Japanese employment system is also fading as firms trim their workforces, renege on implicit guarantees of lifetime employment, and shun seniority-based wages in favor of merit- and skill-related compensation. In short, Japan is in a period of wrenching transformation, in which its most popular politician, Prime Minister Koizumi Junichiro, routinely admonishes audiences with his decidedly unpandering slogan, “No pain, no gain.” This blunt message is a reminder that the verities of postwar Japan are rapidly fading. The new mantra of restructuring and deregulation heralds a new era of uncertainty and insecurity in which most people expect things to get much worse.

日本经济衰退终身雇佣制瓦解经济结构转型小泉改革