利润驱动损失函数下的估计

Estimation Under Profit-Driven Loss Functions

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 1992
被引 12
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究在需求模型中估计价格敏感度参数的问题,当制造商以利润最大化为目标时,传统平方误差损失不再适用,转而采用不对称损失函数,并通过实例表明该方法得到更小的价格敏感度估计值,从而建议更高的最优价格。

Abstract

Abstract Consider the problem of estimating a price-sensitivity parameter in a demand model. Depending on the context in which the estimate will be used, traditional squared-error loss may be inappropriate. We consider the situation in which the estimate will be used by a manufacturer to set the price. Effectively, the manufacturer's goal of profit maximization induces a loss function that turns out to be asymmetric. Estimators that perform well with respect to such loss functions are obtained. A real example is considered in which, compared to traditional estimation under squared-error loss, this approach leads to smaller price-sensitivity estimates, suggesting higher optimal prices. KEY WORDS: Bayes estimatorDemand modelElasticityMarketingScanner data

利润驱动损失函数价格敏感度估计贝叶斯估计需求模型