风险态度与风险回报悖论:前景理论的解释

ATTITUDES TOWARD RISK AND THE RISK-RETURN PARADOX: PROSPECT THEORY EXPLANATIONS.

ACADEMY OF MANAGEMENT JOURNAL · 1988
被引 676
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

用前景理论解释鲍曼的风险回报悖论,发现低于目标回报的企业呈风险寻求、风险回报负相关,高于目标回报的企业呈风险厌恶、风险回报正相关,基于美国企业数据验证了该理论。

Abstract

This study attempted to explain Bowman's risk-return paradox in terms of recent research in behavioral decision theory and prospect theory.The research emphasized the role of reference, or target, return levels in analyzing risky choices.For returns below target, a large majority of individuals appear to be risk seeking; for returns above target, a large majority appear to be risk averse.Using extensive COMPUSTAT-based data on U.S. firms, we consistently found a negative risk-return association for firms having returns below target levels and a positive association for firms with returns above target.These results support the basic propositions of prospect theory and are extremely robust within and across industries and for all time periods studied.

前景理论行为决策理论风险态度风险回报关系