Distributional and Efficiency Impacts of Increased US Gasoline Taxes
通过一个连接新车、二手车和报废车市场的模型，分析美国汽油税增加对汽油消费和家庭福利的影响，发现每加仑汽油税每增加1美分，均衡汽油消费量下降约0.2%，且分配效应取决于税收收入的循环方式。
We examine the impacts of increased US gasoline taxes in a model that links the markets for new, used, and scrapped vehicles and recognizes the considerable heterogeneity among households and cars. Household choice parameters derive from an estimation procedure that integrates individual choices for car ownership and miles traveled. We find that each cent-per-gallon increase in the price of gasoline reduces the equilibrium gasoline consumption by about 0.2 percent. Taking account of revenue recycling, the impact of a 25-cent gasoline tax increase on the average household is about $30 per year (2001 dollars). Distributional impacts depend importantly on how additional revenues from the tax increase are recycled.