动态面板数据估计量的时间序列与横截面渐近性质

The Time Series and Cross-Section Asymptotics of Dynamic Panel Data Estimators

Econometrica · 2003
被引 620
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

推导了当时间维度T和个体维度N都趋于无穷时,自回归随机效应模型中组内、GMM和LIML估计量的渐近性质,发现不同T/N比值下估计量存在不同阶数的负偏误。

Abstract

In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of within groups (WG), GMM, and LIML estimators for an autoregressive model with random effects when both T and N tend to infinity. GMM and LIML are consistent and asymptotically equivalent to the WG estimator. When T/N→ 0 the fixed T results for GMM and LIML remain valid, but WG, although consistent, has an asymptotic bias in its asymptotic distribution. When T/N tends to a positive constant, the WG, GMM, and LIML estimators exhibit negative asymptotic biases of order 1/T, 1/N, and 1/(2N−T), respectively. In addition, the crude GMM estimator that neglects the autocorrelation in first differenced errors is inconsistent as T/N→c>0, despite being consistent for fixed T. Finally, we discuss the properties of a random effects pseudo MLE with unrestricted initial conditions when both T and N tend to infinity.

动态面板数据渐近性质组内估计量GMM估计量