系统视角下的自相关检验:自相关检验

Testing autocorrelation in a system perspective testing autocorrelation

Econometric Reviews · 1999
被引 94 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

将Breusch-Godfrey自相关检验推广到方程组系统,通过蒙特卡洛模拟比较18种检验版本,发现经自由度校正的似然比检验表现最佳,而常用TR²检验在单方程中表现不佳。

Abstract

The Breusch-Godfrey test for autocorrelated errors is generalised to cover systems of equations, and the properties of 18 versions of the test are studied using Monte Carlo methods. We show that only one group of tests regularly has actual size close to the nominal size; namely the likelihood ratio tests of the auxiliary regression system that are corrected in some manner for degrees-of-freedom. The Rao Ftest exhibits the best performance, whilst the commonly used TR2 test behaves badly even in single equations. However, the size and power properties of all tests deteriorate sharply as the number of equations increases, the system becomes more dynamic, the exogenous variables become more autocorrelated and the sample size decreases. This performance has, in general, an unknown degree since the interaction amongst these factors does not permit a predictive summary, as might be hoped for by response surface-type approaches.

系统方程自相关检验似然比检验