生产不确定性下马尔可夫一致计划的存在性

On the Existence of Markov-Consistent Plans under Production Uncertainty

Review of Economic Studies · 1986
被引 17
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究偏好随时间变化的决策者如何选择一致计划,证明在有限期问题中引入平滑的生产不确定性后,马尔可夫一致计划总是存在。

Abstract

Strotz (1956) and Pollak (1968) were among the first to study the behaviour of an economic agent whose preferences change over time. They suggested that such an agent would choose a "consistent plan" which they described as "the best plan that he would actually follow". A Markov-consistent plan has a particularly simple structure: current decisions are independent of past decisions, except insofar as past decisions affect the current values of state variables. Unfortunately, Markov-consistent plans do not generally exist. In this paper, we demonstrate that the existence problem dissappears for finite horizon problems when one introduces even a small amount of smooth uncertainty into production.

时间不一致偏好马尔可夫一致计划生产不确定性有限时域