Expenditure on Durable Goods: A Case for Slow Adjustment
发现,耐用品支出变化并非随机游走,而是存在缓慢的均值回归,其速度慢于无摩擦的永久收入假说预测,对理解消费者行为有参考价值。
For more than a half a decade the fact that expenditure on durables can be well approximated by a random walk has remained a hidden puzzle, challenging almost any theory in which agents smooth the use of their wealth. This paper shows that once a nonparsimonious approach is used, or lower frequencies of the data are examined, the fact itself disappears; changes in expenditures on durables reveal a degree of reversion consistent with the permanent income hypothesis (PIH), although this reversion occurs at a rate significantly slower than what is suggested by a frictionless PIH model.