城市化与结构转型

Urbanization and Structural Transformation

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2012
被引 359
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用1880-2000年美国城乡人口数据,发现中等密度地区的人口增长更快,导致人口密度分布随时间更加分散,这源于农业就业份额的初始差异和结构转型。

Abstract

We examine urbanization using new data that allow us to track the evolution of population in rural and urban areas in the United States from 1880 to 2000. We find a positive correlation between initial population density and subsequent population growth for intermediate densities, which increases the dispersion of the population density distribution over time. We use theory and empirical evidence to show this pattern of population growth is the result of differences in agriculture's initial share of employment across population densities, combined with structural transformation that shifts employment away from agriculture. Copyright 2012, Oxford University Press.

城市化结构转型人口密度就业结构