新兴市场与发展中国家的汇率传递:概念、方法论与政策问题及部分实证发现综述

Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Developing and Emerging Markets: A Survey of Conceptual, Methodological and Policy Issues, and Selected Empirical Findings

Journal of Development Studies · 2014
被引 117 · 同刊同年前 7%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

综述了新兴市场和发展中国家汇率变动对国内价格的影响(汇率传递),比较了不同实证方法,指出常见错误,帮助政策制定者判断估计结果的可靠性。

Abstract

Global integration has increased the international linkages of financial markets for emerging market countries. A key channel for the international transmission of inflation and economic cycles is from exchange rate movements to domestic prices, known as exchange rate pass-through (ERPT). This article reviews the conceptual, methodological and policy issues connected with ERPT in emerging market and developing countries, and critically surveys selected empirical studies. A key contribution is to categorise and compare the heterogeneous methodologies used to extract ERPT measures in the empirical literature. Single equation models and systems methods are contrasted; frequent misspecifications that produce unreliable ERPT estimates are highlighted. The discerning policy-maker needs to ascertain by which methods ERPT measures were calculated, the controls and restrictions applied, and the time frame and stability of the estimates.

汇率传递新兴市场实证方法政策启示