非平稳自回归中通过虚拟变量利用无限方差

EXPLOITING INFINITE VARIANCE THROUGH DUMMY VARIABLES IN NONSTATIONARY AUTOREGRESSIONS

Econometric Theory · 2013
被引 10
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了在具有(近)单位根和无限方差新息的有限阶自回归模型中,通过设置虚拟变量剔除“大”新息来改进估计和检验的方法,证明了该估计量比普通最小二乘估计更有效,并导出了渐近正态的单位根检验统计量。

Abstract

We consider estimation and testing in finite-order autoregressive models with a (near) unit root and infinite-variance innovations. We study the asymptotic properties of estimators obtained by dummying out “large” innovations, i.e., those exceeding a given threshold. These estimators reflect the common practice of dealing with large residuals by including impulse dummies in the estimated regression. Iterative versions of the dummy-variable estimator are also discussed. We provide conditions on the preliminary parameter estimator and on the threshold that ensure that (i) the dummy-based estimator is consistent at higher rates than the ordinary least squares estimator, (ii) an asymptotically normal test statistic for the unit root hypothesis can be derived, and (iii) order of magnitude gains of local power are obtained.

单位根检验无限方差虚拟变量估计非平稳自回归