论信息有效市场的不可能性:回复

On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets: Reply

American Economic Review · 1982
被引 12
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

回应了Richard Cothren对作者先前关于有效市场理论论文的评论,论证即使在允许借贷和卖空的情况下,当信息成本存在时,完全竞争均衡也无法完全传递知情交易者的信息,市场无法被完全套利。

Abstract

The article presents a reply to the comments of economist Richard Cothren on a paper related to efficient market theory written by the authors. According to the author Cothren's assertion that the authors incorrectly derived an informed trader's risky asset demand function is false. They permitted borrowing and short selling. For this reason there is no nonnegativity constraint on a trader's holdings of risky or risk-free assets. A trader's initial wealth is not the limit on the value of the risky assets that he can purchase. The trader can borrow, and in so doing finance a large purchase of risky assets. The goal of their paper was to show that when information is costly, a perfectly competitive equilibrium will not exist which completely transmits the informed traders' information to uninformed traders. It would have been trivial to prove that constraints on borrowing, or on short sales, prevent perfect arbitrage from occurring. They proved a more interesting result, which is that even in the absence of constraints on borrowing or short sales, markets cannot be fully arbitraged, when information about the arbitrage opportunity is costly.

信息有效市场套利限制信息成本知情交易者市场均衡