Agricultural Trade Liberalization and Low Income Countries: A General Equilibrium‐Multimarket Approach
构建一般均衡多市场模型，分析经合组织贸易自由化导致世界粮价上涨对低收入谷物进口国的影响，发现非洲非竞争型国家面临粮食进口账单上升和汇率贬值，而其他地区则相反，并计算了过渡期所需的粮食援助。
Abstract Integrated multimarket‐general‐equilibrium models are constructed to analyze the impact on poor cereal importers of rising world prices following OECD trade liberalization. Archetypes contrast African countries in which cereal imports are not competitive with domestic production (Africa I) to African and Asian countries where they are competitive. Results show rising food import bills and exchange rate depreciation in Africa I and the opposite in the other two regions. Policy implications include promoting agricultural exports from Africa I and promoting food crops for import substitution in the other regions. Food aid needed to shelter the poor during the transition period is calculated.