一类新的多元偏态密度及其在广义自回归条件异方差模型中的应用

A New Class of Multivariate Skew Densities, With Application to Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2005
被引 295 · 同刊同年前 4%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种在多元对称分布中引入偏态的实用方法,构造了多元偏t分布,并用于广义自回归条件异方差模型,在股票收益建模和投资组合风险价值预测上优于对称分布。

Abstract

We propose a practical and flexible method to introduce skewness in multivariate symmetric distributions. Applying this procedure to the multivariate Student density leads to a “multivariate skew-Student” density in which each marginal has a specific asymmetry coefficient. Combined with a multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model, this new family of distributions is found to be more useful than its symmetric counterpart for modeling stock returns and especially for forecasting the value-at-risk of portfolios.

多元偏态密度多元偏态t分布广义自回归条件异方差模型风险价值预测