新兴亚洲股票市场中价格与波动率的非对称调整

Asymmetric Price and Volatility Adjustments in Emerging Asian Stock Markets

Journal of Business Finance & Accounting · 1999
被引 98
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

检验新兴亚洲股市的收益率和波动率是否对过去信息做出非对称调整。结果发现,市场下跌时波动率上升更多,且正收益比负收益更持久,表明价格对高估和低估信息的调整速度不同。

Abstract

This paper tests the hypothesis that stock returns in emerging stock markets adjust asymmetrically to past information. The evidence suggests that both the conditional mean and the conditional variance respond asymmetrically to past information. In agreement with studies dealing with developed stock markets, the conditional variance is an asymmetrical function of past innovations, rising proportionately more during market declines. More importantly, the conditional mean is also an asymmetrical function of past returns. Specifically, positive past returns are more persistent than negative past returns of an equal magnitude. This behaviour is consistent with an asymmetric partial adjustment price model where news suggesting overpricing (negative returns) are incorporated faster into current prices than news suggesting underpricing (positive returns). Furthermore, the asymmetric adjustment of prices to past information could be partially responsible for the asymmetries in the conditional variance if the degree of adjustment and the level of volatility are positively related.

新兴亚洲股市非对称调整条件均值条件方差价格调整模型