消费对收入新闻的不敏感性

The Insensitivity of Consumption to News About Income

Journal of Monetary Economics · 1987
被引 16
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

用方差界限检验法,在收入有单位根的假设下,检验消费是否对收入新闻过度敏感。结果发现消费比标准永久收入模型预测的更不敏感,且结论稳健。

Abstract

This paper uses a variance bounds test to see whether consumption is too sensitive to news about income to be consistent with a standard permanent income model, under the maintained hypothesis that income has a unit root. It is found that, if anything, consumption is less sensitive than the model would predict. This implication is robust to the representative consumer having private information about his future income that the econometrician does not have, to wealth shocks, and to transitory consumption. This suggests the importance in future research on the model of allowing for factors that tend to make consumption smooth.

消费平滑永久收入假说收入冲击方差界检验