Financial crises: lessons from history for today
使用倾向得分匹配法，将2007年前后的危机按全球环境、经济结构和国内脆弱性匹配，发现欧元区外围危机与早期危机有足够共性，但各国情况独特，需差异化政策应对。
Making use of the propensity score matching method, we match earlier crises (pre-2007) with currently ongoing crises (post-2007). The old and new crises are matched in three dimensions: the global setting in which they occurred, the structure of the economy and the domestic vulnerabilities in the pre-crisis period. Our findings suggest that the euro periphery crises share sufficient commonalities with earlier crises in their pre-crisis domestic vulnerabilities. The study points to two important conclusions. First, the euro periphery crises are composed of unique country experiences; hence, it will not be easily resolved with a 'one-size-fits-all' set of economic policies. Secondly, while each banking crisis has its inherent uniqueness, each crisis also shares sufficient commonalities with one or more of the Asian-5 1996/97 crises, the Nordic banking crisis of the early 1990s or the Japanese banking crisis of the 1990s. Thus, the extensive knowledge accumulated through these former banking crises can help in designing recovery policies.