多党选举中竞选支出对选票的影响

The Impact of Campaign Spending on Votes in Multiparty Elections

Review of Economics and Statistics · 2007
被引 67
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

通过构建选民行为结构模型,利用实际选举数据估计竞选支出对选票和弃权的影响,发现支出不仅重新分配选民,还减少弃权群体。

Abstract

The impact of candidate campaign spending on votes and abstention in multiparty elections is estimated from the specification of a structural model of voter behavior. This model accounts for the endogeneity of campaign spending as well as the heterogeneity in voter preferences. Empirical results are estimated from aggregate (actual) election data. The results demonstrate the importance of spending during the campaign period and voter heterogeneity with respect to these expenditures. The own- and cross-expenditure vote share elasticity estimates reveal that political campaign spending not only redistributes voters across parties but also decreases the size of the abstaining group of the electorate. Copyright by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

竞选支出选民异质性投票率多党选举