衡量经济增长的一个亮眼方法

A Bright Idea for Measuring Economic Growth

American Economic Review · 2011
被引 387
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用卫星观测的夜间灯光变化来补充传统GDP增长数据,为收入数据质量差的国家或地区提供更准确的增长估计。

Abstract

The quantity of human-generated light visible from outer space reflects variation in both population density and income per capita. In this paper we explore the usefulness of the change in visible light as a measure of GDP growth. We discuss the data, and then present a statistical framework that uses lights growth to augment existing income growth measures, assuming that measurement errors in the two series are uncorrelated. For some countries with very poor income measurement, we significantly revise estimates of growth. Our technique also produces growth estimates for cities or regions where no other data are available.

夜间灯光数据GDP增长测算统计框架区域经济估计