安全监管市场与监管对死亡事故的影响:以摩托车头盔法为例

The Market for Safety Regulation and the Effect of Regulation on Fatalities: The Case of Motorcycle Helmet Laws

Review of Economics and Statistics · 1991
被引 17
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

指出,现有关于摩托车头盔法效果的计量研究因忽略法律的内生性而可能产生偏差。通过自选择模型修正后,发现若法律随机分配,有头盔法的州死亡率平均仅比无法的州低不到1%。

Abstract

Existing econometric studies of the efficacy of motorcycle helmet laws assume that such laws are exogenously determined and may therefore yield biased results. To correct for possible selectivity bias, we specify and estimate a self-selection model in which the choice of having a helmet law is endogenous. Our results indicate selectivity bias exists and that if laws were randomly assigned, fatality rates for states with helmet laws would on average be less than 1% lower than for states without laws.

摩托车头盔法内生性选择性偏差致死率