长短期记忆条件异方差在估计水平序列记忆参数中的应用

LONG AND SHORT MEMORY CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY IN ESTIMATING THE MEMORY PARAMETER OF LEVELS

Econometric Theory · 1999
被引 175
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了半参数长记忆估计量在条件异方差下的一致性,证明局部Whittle估计在异方差下仍保持与同方差相同的极限分布,适用于金融时间序列分析。

Abstract

Semiparametric estimates of long memory seem useful in the analysis of long financial time series because they are consistent under much broader conditions than parametric estimates. However, recent large sample theory for semiparametric estimates forbids conditional heteroskedasticity. We show that a leading semiparametric estimate, the Gaussian or local Whittle one, can be consistent and have the same limiting distribution under conditional heteroskedasticity as under the conditional homoskedasticity assumed by Robinson (1995, Annals of Statistics 23, 1630–61). Indeed, noting that long memory has been observed in the squares of financial time series, we allow, under regularity conditions, for conditional heteroskedasticity of the general form introduced by Robinson (1991, Journal of Econometrics 47, 67–84), which may include long memory behavior for the squares, such as the fractional noise and autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average form, and also standard short memory ARCH and GARCH specifications.

长记忆条件异方差半参数估计局部Whittle估计