遗憾理论的定量测量

A Quantitative Measurement of Regret Theory

Management Science · 2009
被引 198 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一种测量遗憾理论的方法,采用权衡法,不依赖效用和遗憾函数的具体形式,能处理偏好异质性,实验数据支持人们厌恶大遗憾的假设,且方法可靠可复制。

Abstract

This paper introduces a method to measure regret theory, a popular theory of decision under uncertainty. Regret theory allows for violations of transitivity, and it may seem paradoxical to quantitatively measure an intransitive theory. We adopt the trade-off method and show that it is robust to violations of transitivity. Our method makes no assumptions about the shape of the functions reflecting utility and regret. It can be performed at the individual level, taking account of preference heterogeneity. Our data support the main assumption of regret theory, that people are disproportionately averse to large regrets, even when event-splitting effects are controlled for. The findings are robust: similar results were obtained in two measurements using different stimuli. The data support the reliability of the trade-off method: its measurements could be replicated using different stimuli and were not susceptible to strategic responding.

后悔理论权衡法非传递性偏好个体异质性