TESTING FOR ZERO AUTOCORRELATION IN THE PRESENCE OF STATISTICAL DEPENDENCE
针对时间序列存在统计依赖(如非鞅差序列)时,提出一种扩展的Box-Pierce Q检验,用于检验序列在K阶滞后内是否无自相关,并通过蒙特卡洛研究考察其有限样本表现。
The problem addressed in this paper is to test the null hypothesis that a time series process is uncorrelated up to lag K in the presence of statistical dependence. We propose an extension of the Box–Pierce Q -test that is asymptotically distributed as chi-square when the null is true for a very general class of dependent processes that includes non-martingale difference sequences. The test is based on a consistent estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the sample autocorrelations under the null. The finite sample performance of this extension is investigated in a Monte Carlo study.