IGARCH(1,1)和协方差平稳GARCH(1,1)模型中准最大似然估计的一致性与渐近正态性

Consistency and Asymptotic Normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator in IGARCH(1,1) and Covariance Stationary GARCH(1,1) Models

Econometrica · 1996
被引 466
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

证明了GARCH(1,1)和IGARCH(1,1)模型中准最大似然估计的一致性和渐近正态性,发现条件方差中的单位根不影响估计量的极限分布,且协方差矩阵的一致估计量可用于标准统计推断。

Abstract

This paper provides a proof of the consistency and asymptotic normality of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator in GARCH(1,1) and IGARCH(1,1) models. In contrast to the case of a unit root in the conditional mean, the presence of a unit root in the conditional variance does not affect the limiting distribution of the estimators ; in both models, estimators are normally distributed. In addition, a consistent estimator of the covariance matrix is available, enabling the use of standard test statistics for inference.

拟极大似然估计GARCH(1)模型IGARCH(1渐近正态性