国会限制竞选支出立法投票分析

An Analysis of Congressional Voting on Legislation Limiting Congressional Campaign Expenditures

Journal of Political Economy · 1988
被引 31
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

分析1974年美国众议院行政委员会竞选资金改革法案中,议员对竞选支出上限修正案的投票行为,检验其是否符合公共利益理论或经济管制理论。研究发现,议员投票倾向与其连任概率变化高度相关,支持经济管制理论。

Abstract

Congressional voting on proposed floor amendments concerned solely with setting the level of the election campaign expenditure ceiling provision of the House Administration Committee's broad campaign finance reform bill of 1974 is analyzed for consistency with either the public-interest or economic theories of regulation. The benefit or cost to the individual congressman of a given ceiling is defined as the implied increase or decrease in his probability of reelection under the ceiling. Logit regression analysis provides the preponderant support for the economic theory of regulation by indicating that the likelihood of voting for a given ceiling varies directly with the implied change in reelection probability under the ceiling and is quite sensitive to the implied change. Copyright 1988 by University of Chicago Press.

国会投票竞选支出上限连任概率经济规制理论