World food prices and poverty incidence in a food exporting country: a multihousehold general equilibrium analysis for Thailand
使用多部门、多住户一般均衡模型分析国际粮食价格上涨对泰国贫困的影响,发现尽管泰国是粮食出口国且有许多贫困农民受益,但粮价上涨总体上加剧了贫困,尤其是大米价格上涨影响最大。
Abstract A multisectoral, multihousehold general equilibrium model of the Thai economy is used to analyze the implications of recent increases in international food prices. Higher food prices, especially staple grains, worsen poverty incidence in Thailand despite the presence of large numbers of poor farmers, many of whom benefit from higher prices. The positive effect on the welfare of poor farmers is dominated by the negative effect on poor consumers. Of the recent price increases for rice, sugar, cassava, maize, soybeans, urea, and petroleum, the increases in rice prices raise poverty incidence the most, despite Thailand being the world's largest rice exporter.