Your Friends and Neighbors: Localized Economic Development and Criminal Activity
利用2005年圣安东尼奥军事基地关闭对低薪工人需求的意外冲击，研究发现部分居民收入增加的社区中，非受益居民的掠夺性犯罪上升，表明犯罪机会是解释犯罪模式的关键。
Abstract We exploit a sudden shock to demand for a subset of low-wage workers generated by the 2005 Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) program in San Antonio, Texas, to identify the effects of localized economic development on crime. We use a difference-in-differences methodology that takes advantage of variation in BRAC’s impact over time and across neighborhoods. We find that appropriative criminal behavior increases in neighborhoods where a fraction of residents experienced increases in earnings. This effect is driven by residents who were unlikely to be BRAC beneficiaries, implying that criminal opportunities are important in explaining patterns of crime.