古典经济增长中混沌的出现

The Emergence of Chaos from Classical Economic Growth

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1983
被引 240
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

展示古典确定性经济增长过程如何产生不稳定的波动,说明经济行为变化不一定否定现有理论,且无需外生因素解释模式变化。

Abstract

This paper shows how fluctuations of an erratic and unstable nature can emerge from the classical, deterministic economic growth process. Implications of the analysis would appear to be at least two. First, pronounced changes in the way an economy behaves need not cause us to reject our understanding of how it works. Second, we need not seek in exogenous forces an explanation as to why behavioral patterns change and why it may be so difficult to anticipate future events from the profile of past experience.

经济混沌古典经济增长内生波动确定性系统