一般均衡模型中的储蓄与养老金改革

Saving and pension reform in general equilibrium models

Oxford Review of Economic Policy · 2001
被引 22
人大 A-ABS 2

中文导读

研究了在一般均衡模型中分析储蓄和养老金改革的方法,讨论了社会保障制度存在的原因,并总结了美国数据中模型应匹配的关键特征以及政策实验的定量结果。

Abstract

In this paper we study saving and pension reform in the context of general equilibrium models. We discuss some of the reasons for the existence of a social security system. We highlight the key features of the US data that a general equilibrium model of saving and social security should match: the life-cycle profiles of savings, consumption and hours worked, and the aggregate capital-output ratio and saving rate. We describe the structure of a general equilibrium model, and discuss how its parameters are estimated or calibrated from the data. We present the quantitative results from some policy experiments previously computed in the literature, first in the context of stationary demographics and then with an ageing population, and highlight the key policy prescriptions that we learn from these experiments. We conclude by providing some directions for future research. Copyright 2001, Oxford University Press.

一般均衡模型社会保障改革生命周期储蓄人口老龄化