A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF TIME SERIES APPROACHES TO MODELING INTERSECTORAL AND INTERCOUNTY EMPLOYMET LINKAGES IN RURAL REGIONAL LABOR MARKETS*
比较了五种识别区域间劳动力市场联系的标准，基于美国犹他州东北部六个地区十二个行业的月度就业数据建模，发现施瓦茨准则和投入产出准则优于其他方法。
ABSTRACT. The performance of five criteria for identifying significant interregional labor market linkages is compared. The criteria suggest differential model specifications based on the implicit tradeoff between parsimony and specification bias. Models were specified using: Akaike's final prediction error; Schwarz's Bayesian information criterion; an input‐output model; Aoki's time series algorithm; and a combined input‐outputi/time series approach. Models of the changes in monthly employment for twelve industries in six regions in northeastern Utah were specified using each criterion. Models based on Schwarz's criterion and the input‐output criterion were preferred to those based on other criteria.