The Future, Disposable Organizations and the Rigidities of Imagination
探讨了组织未来预测的幻想本质,从环境解释出发提出组织生存预测,强调刚性、可抛弃型组织的适应性及维持刚性的问题,将未来想象视为组织固执的工具。
Predictions of the future of organizations are variations on a theme of fantasy: reliably incorrect and usefully seductive. To illustrate a few general points about the role of imagination in human existence, some predictions about the future of organizations are developed from an interpretation of the environments that will shape organizational survival. The predictions emphasize the adaptiveness of populations of rigid, disposable organizations as well as some of the problems of sustaining rigidity. Imaginations of the future are portrayed as instruments of the organizational obstinacy required by such an adaptive system. Mention is made of one or two of the consequences of robbing fantasy of its innocence in this way.