Democratic Opposition to the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938: Reply to Seltzer
回应塞尔策关于南方政治制度对《公平劳动标准法》支持度影响的质疑，指出其依赖的两个假设缺乏理论和实证依据，导致错误结论。
Andrew J. Seltzer raises an interesting question: How large was the net effect of southern political institutions on congressional support for the Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA)? Although Seltzer claims to use my econometric results to show that those institutions had little effect, his interpretation of my results depends entirely on two assumptions that I did not make and that he does not justify. The first assumption is that two variables—the Turnout-Manufacturing Correlation and Turnout —somehow “defined the southern political system.” The second is that southern political institutions caused higher values of Turnout-Manufacturing Correlation . Seltzer's assumptions are theoretically baseless and empirically indefensible, and they lead him to the wrong conclusion. I will explain why.