Notes and Communications “A DECISION THEORY EXAMPLE IN FOOTBALL”: A COMMENT*
评论Janssen和Daniel关于大学橄榄球中一分或两分转换选择的决策分析，提出基于随机占优的替代方法，无需知道平局与获胜的相对重要性，仅依赖序贯问题的一致性。
ABSTRACT Janssen and Daniel analyzed the choice between a one‐ or a two‐point conversion for a particular game situation in college football. Their decision criteria was maximum expected utility based on a von Neumann‐Morgenstern utility function defined over the games outcomes. An alternative approach based on a stochastic dominance criterion is presented that does not rely on knowledge of the relative importance of tying vs. winning; rather, it relies on a notion of consistency in the sequential problem.