MULTIVARIATE AUTOREGRESSION OF ORDER ONE WITH INFINITE VARIANCE INNOVATIONS
研究了一阶向量自回归模型在创新向量服从多元稳定分布(可能不同稳定性指数)时的极限行为,发现普通最小二乘估计可能不一致,而某些M估计能解决不一致问题并提高收敛速度。
We consider the limiting behavior of a vector autoregressive model of order one (VAR(1)) with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) innovations vector with dependent components in the domain of attraction of a multivariate stable law with possibly different indices of stability. It is shown that in some cases the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimates are inconsistent. This inconsistency basically originates from the fact that each coordinate of the partial sum processes of dependent i.i.d. vectors of innovations in the domain of attraction of stable laws needs a different normalizer to converge to a limiting process. It is also revealed that certain M -estimates, with some regularity conditions, as an appropriate alternative, not only resolve inconsistency of the OLS estimates but also give higher consistency rates in all cases.