农场计划未来不确定性对玉米-大豆农场的影响

Effects on a Corn‐Soybean Farm of Uncertainty about the Future of Farm Programs

American Journal of Agricultural Economics · 1994
被引 8
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

用动态规划评估1990年农场法案最后一年,农场计划是否延续的不确定性如何影响农民的种植决策。研究发现,只有当农民主观认为计划延续概率极低时,决策才会受影响。

Abstract

Abstract Dynamic programming techniques are used to evaluate effects of uncertainty about continuation of farm programs on planting decisions during the last year of the 1990 Farm Bill. Results indicate farm‐level decisions are affected by uncertainty only when the farmer's subjective probability of the continuation of farm programs is very low. The optimal value functions in different versions of the model can also be used to estimate the implicit value of base acreage.

农场计划不确定性种植决策基期面积价值动态规划