Risk-efficient irrigation strategies for wheat
研究了印度中部小麦种植中风险厌恶农户的灌溉策略,利用随机占优方法识别风险高效方案,并量化风险降低带来的巨大收益,发现均值方差分析会高估收益。
Abstract Agricultural production is risky. When farmers are risk-averse, they are likely to put a premium on production methods that reduce perceived risks. Irrigation is generally believed to be a risk-reducing input. By using the concept of stochastic dominance, risk-efficient irrigation policies for wheat grown in central India are identified and quantitative estimates of benefits due to risk reduction are obtained. Such benefits were found to be of a large order of magnitude. The more common methods such as mean variance analysis tended to over-estimate the benefits.