房地产繁荣时期的金融约束与虚高的房价

Financial Constraints and Inflated Home Prices during the Real Estate Boom

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2011
被引 68
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究发现,在2005-2008年房地产繁荣期间,受金融约束的购房者通过虚高交易价格来获取更大抵押贷款,虚高交易在低收入社区和中介有更大利益或信息优势时更常见,且虚高价格者更易违约但利率未显著提高。

Abstract

During the housing boom, financially constrained home buyers artificially inflated transaction prices in order to draw larger mortgages. Using transaction data from Illinois that includes sellers' offers to inflate prices, I estimate that in 2005–2008, up to 16 percent of highly leveraged transactions had inflated prices of up to 9 percent. Inflated transactions were common in low-income neighborhoods and when intermediaries had a greater stake or an informational advantage. Borrowers who inflated prices were more likely to default, but their mortgage rates were not materially higher. Property prices in areas with a high rate of past price inflation exhibited momentum and high volatility.

财务约束房价膨胀抵押贷款欺诈住房市场泡沫