Review Essay on Charles F. Manski's Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions
这篇书评指出曼斯基的著作揭示了政策分析中常见的过度自信,并展示了经济学界已达成共识的建设性替代方案,适合用于培养未来政策分析者的教学。
Public policy setting often involves quantitative choices with quantitative outcomes. Yet unqualified statements about the precise consequences of alternative choices characterize much of the policy analysis bearing on these decisions. Public Policy in an Uncertain World: Analysis and Decisions by Charles F. Manski characterizes and richly illustrates the nature of this unwarranted certitude. It details specific constructive alternatives on which the economics profession has achieved varying degrees of consensus. Those in our profession charged with the education of future policy analysts should consider using it and how to round out its presentation of decision making from their own perspective.