你愿意缩小福利国家吗?一项欧洲公民调查

Would you like to shrink the welfare state? A survey of European citizens

Economic Policy · 2001
被引 410
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

调查了法、德、意、西四国公民对福利国家现状及改革选项的态度,发现多数人反对削减但也反对扩大福利,支持稳定现状;改革支持度受经济状况影响大,意识形态影响小。

Abstract

Summary Welfare state reform A survey of what Europeans wantThe fundamental problems facing European welfare states – high unemployment and unsustainable public pensions plans in particular – have been in the political debate for years, so why have we seen so little reform? To find out, we surveyed the opinions of citizens in France, Germany, Italy and Spain on their welfare states and on various reform options. This is what we found. First, most workers underestimate the costs of public pensions, though they are aware of their unsustainability. Second, the status quo is a majoritarian outcome: a majority of citizens opposes cuts to social security and welfare spending, but also opposes further increases. Since population ageing without reform implies an automatic expansion, our results suggest that most citizens would favour reforms that stabilize but do not shrink the current welfare states. Third, many would welcome changes in the allocation of benefits. A large number of workers in Italy and Germany would be willing to opt out of public pensions and replace them with private pensions, though the details of how this scheme is formulated matter for its popularity. And many Italians and Spaniards would welcome an extension of the coverage of unemployment insurance. Fourth, conflicts over the welfare state are mainly shaped by the economic situation of the respondent, while political ideology plays a limited role. Disagreements are found along three dimensions: young versus old, rich versus poor, and ‘outsider’ versus ‘insider’ in terms of labour market status. From a practical point of view, this suggests that there is scope to bundle reforms strategically in order to build a large and mixed coalition of supporters.— Tito Boeri, Axel Börsch-Supan and Guido Tabellini

福利国家改革公众态度养老金私有化失业保险