技术冲击与就业

Technology Shocks and Employment

Economic Journal · 2007
被引 47
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

发现,在贸易弹性较低时,标准开放经济灵活价格模型能模拟出技术正向冲击导致就业持续下降的现象,并匹配生产率与就业的负条件相关性,但模型未能使就业充分顺周期,表明RBC模型在解释技术冲击对就业的负向影响与将其作为周期主要来源之间存在矛盾。

Abstract

Recent empirical work has suggested that in response to a positive technology shock employment shows a persistent decline. We show that the standard, open economy, flexible price model can generate a negative response of employment to a positive technology shock and can also match the negative conditional correlation between productivity and employment quite well if trade elasticities are low. While the model also has good overall properties, it fails to generate sufficient procyclicality in employment. This finding indicates that the RBC model faces a tension between accounting for the negative response of employment to technology shocks and simultaneously maintaining that technology shocks are the major source of business cycle fluctuations.

技术冲击就业贸易弹性实际经济周期模型