欧洲货币联盟的货币政策实施与传导

Monetary policy implementation and transmission in the European Monetary Union

Economic Policy · 2001
被引 179
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

从三个实证角度探讨欧洲货币联盟成员国失去国家货币政策后的问题:商业周期是否同步、政策传导机制是否存在不对称性、以及欧洲央行如何实施政策。

Abstract

I discuss possible problems engendered by loss of national monetary policies, and study them from three empirical perspectives. First, are business cycles sufficiently synchronized across EMU member countries? The evidence suggests that economic activity in those countries has become increasingly correlated in the 1990s, and that policy co-ordination has played a role in generating that outcome. Second, are there asymmetries in the mechanisms through which policy affects economic activity? The paper documents that policy transmission was indeed heterogeneous in the member countries, and that structural and financial factors were sensibly related to cross-country differences in the response of output to a monetary policy shock. Third, how is policy implemented in an environment of diverse business cycle fundamentals and transmission mechanisms? Estimation of monetary policy reaction functions finds that the European Central Bank is closer to an aggregate of the central banks in Germany, France, and Italy than to the Bundesbank alone. Copyright CEPR, CES, MSH, 2001.

欧洲货币联盟货币政策传导商业周期同步政策反应函数