贸易伙伴与贸易量:Helpman-Melitz-Rubinstein模型的实证实施

Trading Partners and Trading Volumes: Implementing the Helpman–Melitz–Rubinstein Model Empirically

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · 2013
被引 107
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

检验了Helpman-Melitz-Rubinstein模型的两阶段估计方法,发现该方法仅在强分布假设下有效,且对异方差性敏感,质疑了其实证结果的可靠性。

Abstract

Abstract Helpman, Melitz and Rubinstein [ Quarterly Journal of Economics (2008) Vol. 123, pp. 441–487] (HMR) present a rich theoretical model to study the determinants of bilateral trade flows across countries. The model is then empirically implemented through a two‐stage estimation procedure. We argue that this estimation procedure is only valid under the strong distributional assumptions maintained in the article. Statistical tests using the HMR sample, however, clearly reject such assumptions. Moreover, we perform numerical experiments which show that the HMR two‐stage estimator is very sensitive to departures from the assumption of homoskedasticity. These findings cast doubts on any inference drawn from the empirical implementation of the HMR model.

双边贸易流量两阶段估计异方差性