住房与天气

Housing and the Weather

Real Estate Economics · 1987
被引 13
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现异常天气对住房开工、销售和建设速度的影响很小,仅冬季略有作用,月度波动更多源于抽样误差,人们常高估天气的影响。

Abstract

Monthly readings on housing construction and sales that are at odds with expectations are often attributed to unusual weather conditions. This paper examines the empirical relationship between weather abnormalities and housing activity. The conclusion is that unseasonable weather patterns have, at most, a slight impact on total housing starts, home sales, and the pace of construction activity. Even this weak effect is found only during the winter months. Sampling error accounts for much more of the month‐to‐month changes in measured housing activity than does the weather, and there is a general tendency to exaggerate the influence of unusual weather on the monthly national housing data.

天气异常住房开工住房销售施工进度