The Economic Implications of Farm Interest Groups' Beliefs
提出一种方法，通过观察农业利益集团的行为推断其经济信念，并检验这些信念是否符合现实，从而评估信念偏差对集团的经济影响。以加拿大西部农场组织为例说明该方法。
Abstract It is usually assumed that interest groups fully understand their economic environment. A method of determining the economic beliefs of farm interest groups and of examining the implications for the groups if these beliefs do not conform to reality is presented. The approach obtains estimates of the perceived beliefs of a group from knowledge of its actions and assumptions regarding its objectives. A comparison of the optimal policy recommendations with those based on the perceived beliefs provides an indication of the benefits of conformity. An example involving farm organizations in western Canada illustrates the use of the method.