汽车行业中的信息共享与竞争

Information Sharing and Competition in the Motor Vehicle Industry

Journal of Political Economy · 1999
被引 93
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究美国汽车制造商提前数月公布生产计划后,竞争对手如何根据这些信息调整自身计划与产量,发现企业间存在互补性互动,即大计划或向上修正会引发对手跟进。

Abstract

Up to six months ahead of actual production, U.S. automakers announce plans for their monthly domestic production of cars. A leading industry trade journal publishes the initial plans and then a series of revisions leading up to the month in question. We analyze a panel data set spanning the years 1965–95, matching the production forecasts with data for actual monthly production. We show that a firm's plan announcement affects competitors' later revisions of their own plans and eventual production. The interaction appears to be complementary: large plans or upward revisions cause competitors to revise plans upward and increase production. The results are consistent with theoretical models in which firms share information about common demand parameters.

信息共享竞争汽车产业生产计划