经验之教:专业人士在实验室实验中玩极小化极大策略

Experientia Docet: Professionals Play Minimax in Laboratory Experiments

Econometrica · 2008
被引 139
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究专业人士与大学生在零和博弈中的行为差异,发现专业人士能像在真实环境中一样接近均衡策略,而大学生则偏离较远,表明经验与技能可迁移至陌生实验室情境。

Abstract

We study how professional players and college students play zero-sum two-person strategic games in a laboratory setting. We first ask professionals to play a 2 × 2 game that is formally identical to a strategic interaction situation that they face in their natural environment. Consistent with their behavior in the field, they play very close to the equilibrium of the game. In particular, (i) they equate their strategies' payoffs to the equilibrium ones and (ii) they generate sequences of choices that are serially independent. In sharp contrast, however, we find that college students play the game far from the equilibrium predictions. We then study the behavior of professional players and college students in the classic O'Neill 4 × 4 zero-sum game, a game that none of the subjects has encountered previously, and find the same differences in the behavior of these two pools of subjects. The transfer of skills and experience from the familiar field to the unfamiliar laboratory observed for professional players is relevant to evaluate the circumstances under which behavior in a laboratory setting may be a reliable indicator of behavior in a naturally occurring setting. From a cognitive perspective, it is useful for research on recognition processes, intuition, and similarity as a basis for inductive reasoning.

专业人士零和博弈实验室实验行为转移